Pitt vs. Duke - Simulation / Preview

Anything goes, all topics welcome!

Moderator: CameronBornAndBred

Post Reply
User avatar
chipslate
Part Time Student at PWing school
Part Time Student at PWing school
Posts: 158
Joined: October 26th, 2012, 7:28 pm

Pitt vs. Duke - Simulation / Preview

Post by chipslate » September 17th, 2013, 5:35 pm

While the past simulations haven't been dead on, the predictions have covered the spread so far... hopefully this week the simulations are wrong!!

In terms of the depth chart the only change I've made for this week is moving Juwan Thompson to the 2nd RB position based on Snead's limited participation last week.

Image

Weather.com is showing 82 degrees and humid with isolated thunderstorms.

Vegas is showing Pitt as a four point favorite or GT -4 / Duke +4.

1. 28-25 (W)
2. 7-28 (L)
3. 21-38 (L)
4. 24-27 (L)
5. 13-31 (L)
6. 35-34 (W) OT
7. 35-28 (W) OT
8. 9-31 (L)
9. 28-31 (L)
10. 17-42 (L)
11. 24-31 (L)
12. 24-31 (L)
13. 20-30 (L)
14. 14-17 (L)
15. 27-10 (W)
16. 20-24 (L)
17. 35-28 (W)
18. 27-30 (L)
19. 6-30 (L)
20. 21-24 (L)

The projections show Duke winning 5 of the 20 simulations or a 25% Winning Percentage. The scoring average, rounded was Duke 22, Pitt 29. (aka Pitt -7)

Also, the Mode for the simulations (which matched the exact score last week) is: Duke 35 or 24, and Pitt 31.

This all translates to a much better chance for Duke this week than last, plus with Cut having the game film from the GT game to review and another full game of experience for Connette at QB there's HOPE! ;)

LET'S GO DUKE!!!


--------------------------------
Season History:

GAME------------VEGAS-------SIMULATED SPREAD--------ACTUAL SPREAD------SPREAD PREDICTED?

Memphis(A)-------(-4)-----------------(-12)-----------------------(-14)-------------------Yes
Ga. Tech(H)-------(+8)----------------(+12)-----------------------(+24)-------------------Yes
Pittsburgh (H)-----(+4)----------------(+7)-------------------------(-??)--------------------??
User avatar
devildeac
PWing School Chancellor
Posts: 18962
Joined: April 8th, 2009, 11:10 pm
Location: Nowhere near the hell in which unc finds itself.

Re: Pitt vs. Duke - Simulation / Preview

Post by devildeac » September 23rd, 2013, 5:21 pm

chipslate wrote:While the past simulations haven't been dead on, the predictions have covered the spread so far... hopefully this week the simulations are wrong!!

In terms of the depth chart the only change I've made for this week is moving Juwan Thompson to the 2nd RB position based on Snead's limited participation last week.

Image

Weather.com is showing 82 degrees and humid with isolated thunderstorms.

Vegas is showing Pitt as a four point favorite or GT -4 / Duke +4.

1. 28-25 (W)
2. 7-28 (L)
3. 21-38 (L)
4. 24-27 (L)
5. 13-31 (L)
6. 35-34 (W) OT
7. 35-28 (W) OT
8. 9-31 (L)
9. 28-31 (L)
10. 17-42 (L)
11. 24-31 (L)
12. 24-31 (L)
13. 20-30 (L)
14. 14-17 (L)
15. 27-10 (W)
16. 20-24 (L)
17. 35-28 (W)
18. 27-30 (L)
19. 6-30 (L)
20. 21-24 (L)

The projections show Duke winning 5 of the 20 simulations or a 25% Winning Percentage. The scoring average, rounded was Duke 22, Pitt 29. (aka Pitt -7)

Also, the Mode for the simulations (which matched the exact score last week) is: Duke 35 or 24, and Pitt 31.

This all translates to a much better chance for Duke this week than last, plus with Cut having the game film from the GT game to review and another full game of experience for Connette at QB there's HOPE! ;)

LET'S GO DUKE!!!


--------------------------------
Season History:

GAME------------VEGAS-------SIMULATED SPREAD--------ACTUAL SPREAD------SPREAD PREDICTED?

Memphis(A)-------(-4)-----------------(-12)-----------------------(-14)-------------------Yes
Ga. Tech(H)-------(+8)----------------(+12)-----------------------(+24)-------------------Yes
Pittsburgh (H)-----(+4)----------------(+7)-------------------------(-??)--------------------??
Interesting. Not one simulation had a team scoring >50 points, let alone BOTH teams putting >50 on the board :-o . I texted Ozzie at one point wondering if Pitt was gonna score 90 on us X( .
[redacted] them and the horses they rode in on.
lawgrad91
PWing School Chancellor
Posts: 13080
Joined: April 14th, 2010, 9:52 pm
Location: Walkertown NC/Varnish County VA

Re: Pitt vs. Duke - Simulation / Preview

Post by lawgrad91 » September 23rd, 2013, 5:39 pm

devildeac wrote:Interesting. Not one simulation had a team scoring >50 points, let alone BOTH teams putting >50 on the board :-o . I texted Ozzie at one point wondering if Pitt was gonna score 90 on us X( .
The Rev Lawgrad asked me if they would score in the triple digits after the first quarter. X( :9f:
Iron Duke #1471997.
User avatar
devildeac
PWing School Chancellor
Posts: 18962
Joined: April 8th, 2009, 11:10 pm
Location: Nowhere near the hell in which unc finds itself.

Re: Pitt vs. Duke - Simulation / Preview

Post by devildeac » September 23rd, 2013, 6:02 pm

lawgrad91 wrote:
devildeac wrote:Interesting. Not one simulation had a team scoring >50 points, let alone BOTH teams putting >50 on the board :-o . I texted Ozzie at one point wondering if Pitt was gonna score 90 on us X( .
The Rev Lawgrad asked me if they would score in the triple digits after the first quarter. X( :9f:
I never thought they'd do that because they would be so exhausted from scoring their first 80-90 points :(( :(( X( X(.
[redacted] them and the horses they rode in on.
User avatar
chipslate
Part Time Student at PWing school
Part Time Student at PWing school
Posts: 158
Joined: October 26th, 2012, 7:28 pm

Re: Pitt vs. Duke - Simulation / Preview

Post by chipslate » September 23rd, 2013, 8:19 pm

Argghhh, we'll see what the simulations show! The Rev is just interested in the quality of dessert that shows up... Instead of Honey Buns he wants a pimp cake which is a good possibility since last week the bets were good ;)
Post Reply