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Pitt vs. Duke - Simulation / Preview

Posted: September 17th, 2013, 5:35 pm
by chipslate
While the past simulations haven't been dead on, the predictions have covered the spread so far... hopefully this week the simulations are wrong!!

In terms of the depth chart the only change I've made for this week is moving Juwan Thompson to the 2nd RB position based on Snead's limited participation last week.

Image

Weather.com is showing 82 degrees and humid with isolated thunderstorms.

Vegas is showing Pitt as a four point favorite or GT -4 / Duke +4.

1. 28-25 (W)
2. 7-28 (L)
3. 21-38 (L)
4. 24-27 (L)
5. 13-31 (L)
6. 35-34 (W) OT
7. 35-28 (W) OT
8. 9-31 (L)
9. 28-31 (L)
10. 17-42 (L)
11. 24-31 (L)
12. 24-31 (L)
13. 20-30 (L)
14. 14-17 (L)
15. 27-10 (W)
16. 20-24 (L)
17. 35-28 (W)
18. 27-30 (L)
19. 6-30 (L)
20. 21-24 (L)

The projections show Duke winning 5 of the 20 simulations or a 25% Winning Percentage. The scoring average, rounded was Duke 22, Pitt 29. (aka Pitt -7)

Also, the Mode for the simulations (which matched the exact score last week) is: Duke 35 or 24, and Pitt 31.

This all translates to a much better chance for Duke this week than last, plus with Cut having the game film from the GT game to review and another full game of experience for Connette at QB there's HOPE! ;)

LET'S GO DUKE!!!


--------------------------------
Season History:

GAME------------VEGAS-------SIMULATED SPREAD--------ACTUAL SPREAD------SPREAD PREDICTED?

Memphis(A)-------(-4)-----------------(-12)-----------------------(-14)-------------------Yes
Ga. Tech(H)-------(+8)----------------(+12)-----------------------(+24)-------------------Yes
Pittsburgh (H)-----(+4)----------------(+7)-------------------------(-??)--------------------??

Re: Pitt vs. Duke - Simulation / Preview

Posted: September 23rd, 2013, 5:21 pm
by devildeac
chipslate wrote:While the past simulations haven't been dead on, the predictions have covered the spread so far... hopefully this week the simulations are wrong!!

In terms of the depth chart the only change I've made for this week is moving Juwan Thompson to the 2nd RB position based on Snead's limited participation last week.

Image

Weather.com is showing 82 degrees and humid with isolated thunderstorms.

Vegas is showing Pitt as a four point favorite or GT -4 / Duke +4.

1. 28-25 (W)
2. 7-28 (L)
3. 21-38 (L)
4. 24-27 (L)
5. 13-31 (L)
6. 35-34 (W) OT
7. 35-28 (W) OT
8. 9-31 (L)
9. 28-31 (L)
10. 17-42 (L)
11. 24-31 (L)
12. 24-31 (L)
13. 20-30 (L)
14. 14-17 (L)
15. 27-10 (W)
16. 20-24 (L)
17. 35-28 (W)
18. 27-30 (L)
19. 6-30 (L)
20. 21-24 (L)

The projections show Duke winning 5 of the 20 simulations or a 25% Winning Percentage. The scoring average, rounded was Duke 22, Pitt 29. (aka Pitt -7)

Also, the Mode for the simulations (which matched the exact score last week) is: Duke 35 or 24, and Pitt 31.

This all translates to a much better chance for Duke this week than last, plus with Cut having the game film from the GT game to review and another full game of experience for Connette at QB there's HOPE! ;)

LET'S GO DUKE!!!


--------------------------------
Season History:

GAME------------VEGAS-------SIMULATED SPREAD--------ACTUAL SPREAD------SPREAD PREDICTED?

Memphis(A)-------(-4)-----------------(-12)-----------------------(-14)-------------------Yes
Ga. Tech(H)-------(+8)----------------(+12)-----------------------(+24)-------------------Yes
Pittsburgh (H)-----(+4)----------------(+7)-------------------------(-??)--------------------??
Interesting. Not one simulation had a team scoring >50 points, let alone BOTH teams putting >50 on the board :-o . I texted Ozzie at one point wondering if Pitt was gonna score 90 on us X( .

Re: Pitt vs. Duke - Simulation / Preview

Posted: September 23rd, 2013, 5:39 pm
by lawgrad91
devildeac wrote:Interesting. Not one simulation had a team scoring >50 points, let alone BOTH teams putting >50 on the board :-o . I texted Ozzie at one point wondering if Pitt was gonna score 90 on us X( .
The Rev Lawgrad asked me if they would score in the triple digits after the first quarter. X( :9f:

Re: Pitt vs. Duke - Simulation / Preview

Posted: September 23rd, 2013, 6:02 pm
by devildeac
lawgrad91 wrote:
devildeac wrote:Interesting. Not one simulation had a team scoring >50 points, let alone BOTH teams putting >50 on the board :-o . I texted Ozzie at one point wondering if Pitt was gonna score 90 on us X( .
The Rev Lawgrad asked me if they would score in the triple digits after the first quarter. X( :9f:
I never thought they'd do that because they would be so exhausted from scoring their first 80-90 points :(( :(( X( X(.

Re: Pitt vs. Duke - Simulation / Preview

Posted: September 23rd, 2013, 8:19 pm
by chipslate
Argghhh, we'll see what the simulations show! The Rev is just interested in the quality of dessert that shows up... Instead of Honey Buns he wants a pimp cake which is a good possibility since last week the bets were good ;)