crazietalk.net

DukeUsul wrote:The NGFDL would be a combination of the GFDL model and the NOGAPS model. Here's some light reading!

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/ssd/nwpmodel/html/nhcmodel.htm

That made my brain explode. By the way, I love the name given to the storm surge model...SLOSH!

CameronBornAndBred wrote:If it were to follow the yellow line, that would put me on the eastern side, and there is no way my trailer survives that..especially since it's nestled up to a pine forest. I think we'll have a better feel tomorrow, and I'll decide by Thursday whether I'm sticking around or not. They are talking about mandatory evacuation for Ocracoke..not surprising since the potential is there for it the island to be washed over.

From the National Weather Service:
"Today Hurricane Earl took a unexpected turn due East and is now tracking directly for the coast of North Carolina."

When asked if they had an opinion as to why the hurricane had taken such an unexpected turn, an NWS spokesperson said: "... we're uncertain as to exactly why the storm took such a dramatic turn toward the coast of NC but, it seems to correlate directly with the purchase of a new grill by CameronBornAndBred."

TNTDevil wrote:

CameronBornAndBred wrote:If it were to follow the yellow line, that would put me on the eastern side, and there is no way my trailer survives that..especially since it's nestled up to a pine forest. I think we'll have a better feel tomorrow, and I'll decide by Thursday whether I'm sticking around or not. They are talking about mandatory evacuation for Ocracoke..not surprising since the potential is there for it the island to be washed over.

From the National Weather Service:
"Today Hurricane Earl took a unexpected turn due East and is now tracking directly for the coast of North Carolina."

When asked if they had an opinion as to why the hurricane had taken such an unexpected turn, an NWS spokesperson said: "... we're uncertain as to exactly why the storm took such a dramatic turn toward the coast of NC but, it seems to correlate directly with the purchase of a new grill by CameronBornAndBred."

Bring it on...this is one tough grill, baby!

TNTDevil wrote:

CameronBornAndBred wrote:If it were to follow the yellow line, that would put me on the eastern side, and there is no way my trailer survives that..especially since it's nestled up to a pine forest. I think we'll have a better feel tomorrow, and I'll decide by Thursday whether I'm sticking around or not. They are talking about mandatory evacuation for Ocracoke..not surprising since the potential is there for it the island to be washed over.

From the National Weather Service:
"Today Hurricane Earl took a unexpected turn due East and is now tracking directly for the coast of North Carolina."

When asked if they had an opinion as to why the hurricane had taken such an unexpected turn, an NWS spokesperson said: "... we're uncertain as to exactly why the storm took such a dramatic turn toward the coast of NC but, it seems to correlate directly with the purchase of a new grill by CameronBornAndBred."

Oh snap.

Here's the latest satellite image. If you look closely, you can see the well-defined eye of the storm, as well as the oft-never-seen right arm and hand of the hurricane.
-EarlJam

EarlJam wrote:
Here's the latest satellite image. If you look closely, you can see the well-defined eye of the storm, as well as the oft-never-seen right arm and hand of the hurricane.

Hurricane Earl.JPG

-EarlJam

we have stocked up hurricane stuff. That should keep Earl away!

DukePA wrote:we have stocked up hurricane stuff. That should keep Earl away!

We're still talking about the "hurricane," right?

What kind of "stuff?"

Some "stuffs" attract particular "Earls."

-Cat 4 EarlJam

EarlJam wrote:

DukePA wrote:we have stocked up hurricane stuff. That should keep Earl away!

We're still talking about the "hurricane," right?

What kind of "stuff?"

Some "stuffs" attract particular "Earls."

-Cat 4 EarlJam

Come on down, bro! We have lots of beer and wine which I am certain Earl of Jam-eth would very much enjoy

Evacuations on Ocracoke Island.

CB&B and Sis, how far are you from here?

-EarlJam

EarlJam wrote:Evacuations on Ocracoke Island.

CB&B and Sis, how far are you from here?

-EarlJam

A 2 hour ferry ride to the southwest. Ferries are slow. They are evacuating Ocracoke (smartly) because if they get any surge the island will be washed over. There is no place to hide when there is no high ground.

OZZIE4DUKE wrote:

indoor66 wrote:Those of us in South Florida are pleased that Earl is not visiting.

Where in South Florida are you? I visit Ft. Lauderdale several times each year. (Hey DD - no "thanks for the warning" comment from the peanut gallery! )

That one is going over my head. It won't be funny when you have to explain it but every once in a while, I just don't git it.

CathyCA wrote:

CameronBornAndBred wrote:

I do not like the yellow line. At all.

I don't like it, either.

Nor I.

DukeUsul wrote:The NGFDL would be a combination of the GFDL model and the NOGAPS model. Here's some light reading!

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/ssd/nwpmodel/html/nhcmodel.htm

WTF?

Dang, sending "Stay Away, Earl!" vibes to you on-the-coast-ies.

The dark blue line on the projected model tracks also isn't good.

Looks like it may have swung a little bit more east.

Apparently the storm is losing a bit of steam too.

We are now under a hurricane warning.

colchar wrote:Apparently the storm is losing a bit of steam too.

It's still a category 3 storm. Even if it goes to a 2, NOT good for CB&B.

Vibes!!

Lavabe wrote:

colchar wrote:Apparently the storm is losing a bit of steam too.

It's still a category 3 storm. Even if it goes to a 2, NOT good for CB&B.

Vibes!!

I think the scale goes the other way. It is worse if it goes to a 4. Better if it goes to a 2.